A view on a trader.
A stake in the outcome.
Simple questions. Two sides. One shared pool.
Find your market
Pick a trader and a measurable question: a place in the ranking or a PnL target.
Choose your side
Yes or No. Stakes on both sides form one pool, with no order book to fill.
Share the winning pool
After resolution, the winning side shares the pool in proportion to its stakes, less the fee.
Two ways to back your read.
A prediction on position. The final rank is compared with the market’s stated threshold.
A prediction on performance. The trader’s PnL for the stated window is compared with the market’s target.
Know the terms.
Return on the winning side is your share of the winning stakes multiplied by the pool after fees. Each market shows its own current pool.
The details matter.
What am I predicting?
Rank hold markets ask whether a trader is in the top N at resolution. PnL target markets ask whether a trader’s PnL for the specified leaderboard window is above a stated threshold. Read the question, window and closing time on each market.
How are outcomes decided?
The operator determines the outcome from a leaderboard snapshot. This is an operator-resolved system: the data source and the operator are part of the trust model.
Can I exit before the market closes?
No. The pool model does not offer an early exit. Once betting is available, positions remain in the pool until resolution or an applicable refund.
Are the percentages a forecast?
Percentages show the share of the pool on each side. They are not a guaranteed probability. An empty pool has no percentage until participants have placed stakes.
What if data is missing or the market is cancelled?
A missing snapshot is not proof of either outcome. Affected markets need operator review. Cancellation and refund handling must be checked before funds are accepted.
Can I place a bet right now?
Onchain betting and wallet connections are not available in this version. The market pages show actual catalog data and a payout preview. No preview sends a transaction or reserves a position.